sorry for the delay BM/UM...
most of my steps are outlined here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gregclimbs/sets/72157626343131544/but what I did is this... start out with poster board. trace the inside triangle of the bike:
from there, you have the chord lengths of each side.
the back I wanted to be roughly the diameter of the seattube. the front, tapered to 4.5 inches. so I drew out the rectangle of the rear/seattube panel. then I drew out the toptube and downtube panels... with the chord lengths as the centerlines, and the width of the seattube as one end and the 4.5" at the other end, then drew in the tapered sides of symmetric trapezoid(s). The lengths of the seattube, toptube and downtube panels fully define the triangle shape of the side panels.
I cut out all of these cardboard parts, taped them together with cellophane tape and tried to mount the structure in the bike. This process usually leads to some tweaks in the length and/or shapes that I want to make.
After I do that, I remake the cardboard version with the modifications:
I try to make mine as seamless as possible and cut it out of as few a pieces of material as possible* so I unfold the box as a pattern:
I make my velcro straps as one piece in the pattern too, so the top panel gets expanded:
And this is my final pattern. It was around this time I came up with the bottle bolts to hold it all on, so I made two of the sides in plastic (I used a "for sale" sign as it seemed the best balance of rigidity, flexability and cost):
Take the pattern, add an inch to work with around the edges, cut the material and get to it (I will leave you to the other tutorials here and elsewhere online to determine how to do the basics).
I learned from my last bag to do the hard parts first, in this case, the zipper and then the hardest corner. So I attached the zipper, which also mounted the interior liner. Sew on the velcro, make them into the tabs, sew the liner to the outside thus encasing the plastic, bar tack the bivy pole holders insitu, then button up the bag by sewing the edges.
Then, voila!
I then heated a coat hanger and melted the holes for the water bottle bolts (thus bonding the outside to the inside as well) and got it all mounted up...
If you take a look at the flickr set, I have a bunch of annotations there as well with my thoughts as I went along.
I hope that helps...
g